2023 CE Numbers

raysgm
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DJ Kitty - The Face of the Rays

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2023 CE Numbers Mar 1, 2023 13:45:06 GMT -5 DodgersGM and Bal-Ty-more like this

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Post by raysgm on Mar 1, 2023 13:45:06 GMT -5

CE Decisions are due by 4/2.

Using Ian's method last year (see nsbl2012.boards.net/thread/2107/2022-ce-numbers) here are the CE numbers this year. I just ran it for all 5th/6th year players instead of just the requested players, because I always felt that was a bit silly:


Name	        Team	Pos	Year	Age	%	ARB	Prj 6th	FA Szn	CE+1 Offer
Alex Bregman	ARI	if	6	29	0.956	17.226	-	32.436	24.831
Colin Poche	ARI	rp	5	29	0.421	6.967	8.400	1.737	5.701
Jonathan Loais.	ARI	sp	5	28	0.932	4.933	10.358	30.577	15.289
J.D. Davis	ATL	of	5	30	0.708	4.007	6.238	18.248	9.498
Jack Flaherty	ATL	sp	5	27	0.660	5.080	6.513	15.126	8.906
Juan Soto	ATL	of	5	24	1.317	10.789	17.811	60.318	29.639
Jalen Beeks	BOS	rp	5	29	0.694	2.786	4.219	4.584	3.863
Ryan McMahon	BOS	if	5	28	0.625	4.324	5.757	14.256	8.112
Brandon Nimmo	CHW	of	6	30	1.061	14.553	-	36.003	25.278
Brett Martin	CHW	rp	5	28	0.638	2.580	4.013	4.420	3.671
Diego Castillo	CHW	rp	5	29	0.626	3.521	4.954	4.133	4.203
Max Kepler	CHW	of	6	30	0.678	10.863	-	14.731	12.797
Victor Robles	CHW	of	5	26	0.397	3.702	5.135	6.204	5.014
Corbin Burnes	CIN	sp	5	28	1.182	4.981	12.003	40.393	19.126
Josh James	CIN	rp	5	30	-0.259	2.580	4.013	-1.070	1.841
Keibert Ruiz	CIN	c	5	24	0.846	5.064	8.892	30.700	14.885
Alex Claudio	CLE	rp	5	31	0.290	2.485	3.918	1.195	2.533
Raimel Tapia	CLE	of	5	29	0.440	2.613	4.046	5.977	4.212
Ian Happ	COL	of	5	28	0.822	8.729	12.557	25.781	15.689
Jesus Luzardo	COL	sp	5	25	0.554	3.325	4.758	11.709	6.597
Kevin Newman	COL	if	5	29	0.590	2.732	4.165	10.414	5.770
Luis Castillo	COL	sp	5	30	0.974	3.739	9.963	31.687	15.129
J.P. Crawford	DET	if	5	28	0.642	2.916	4.349	14.636	7.300
Jorge Polanco	HOU	if	5	29	0.737	5.855	8.086	18.994	10.979
Pierce Johnson	HOU	rp	5	32	0.676	3.257	4.690	4.237	4.061
Trevor May	HOU	rp	6	33	0.401	3.988	-	1.571	2.779
Andrew Heaney	KC	sp	6	32	0.713	10.580	-	16.749	13.664
Jordan Montgom.	KC	sp	5	30	0.805	3.552	7.380	23.055	11.329
Jose Alvarado	KC	rp	5	28	0.437	2.580	4.013	1.893	2.829
Vladimir Guerr.	KC	if	5	24	0.868	8.756	13.383	36.601	19.580
Kyle Tucker	LAA	of	5	26	1.026	7.693	14.715	40.048	20.819
Phil Maton	LAD	rp	5	30	0.514	2.482	3.915	2.754	3.050
Chad Green	MIA	rp	6	32	0.736	8.188	-	5.484	6.836
Myles Straw	MIA	of	5	28	0.535	3.781	5.214	9.920	6.305
Pablo Lopez	MIA	sp	5	27	0.894	3.676	8.303	29.448	13.809
Yandy Diaz	MIA	if	6	31	0.817	7.917	-	24.403	16.160
Richard Lovela.	MIL	rp	5	27	-0.528	4.782	6.215	-2.398	2.866
Sean Newcomb	MIN	rp	5	30	-0.678	3.238	4.671	-2.798	1.704
Brian Anderson	NYM	if	6	30	0.620	4.578	-	13.472	9.025
Ozzie Albies	NYM	if	5	26	0.729	7.802	10.033	21.623	13.153
Robert Stephen.	NYM	rp	5	30	0.042	2.580	4.013	0.173	2.255
Tyrone Taylor	NYM	of	5	29	0.749	2.711	4.942	19.329	8.994
A.J. Minter	NYY	rp	6	29	1.059	4.920	-	10.923	7.922
Matt Chapman	NYY	if	5	30	0.915	9.833	15.258	29.820	18.304
Michael A. Tay.	OAK	of	6	32	0.529	3.988	-	8.875	6.432
Mike Zunino	OAK	c	5	32	0.724	2.613	4.844	15.971	7.809
Ryne Stanek	OAK	rp	5	31	0.568	2.786	4.219	3.048	3.351
Tyler Glasnow	OAK	sp	6	29	1.116	10.757	-	36.325	23.541
Seranthony Dom.	PHI	rp	5	28	0.850	3.325	7.952	8.471	6.582
Yonny Chirinos	PHI	sp	5	29	0.982	2.503	8.727	31.956	14.395
Lucas Giolito	PIT	sp	6	28	0.798	12.184	-	22.914	17.549
Ramon Laureano	PIT	of	5	28	0.674	6.244	7.677	15.378	9.766
Freddy Peralta	SEA	sp	5	27	0.999	3.258	9.482	35.749	16.163
Teoscar Hernan.	SEA	of	5	30	0.918	5.811	11.236	29.893	15.647
Antonio Senzat.	SF	sp	5	28	0.831	4.497	8.325	24.984	12.602
Rowdy Tellez	SF	if	5	28	0.606	3.052	4.485	13.818	7.118
Austin Meadows	STL	of	5	28	0.655	9.308	10.741	14.945	11.665
Tyler O'Neill	STL	of	6	28	0.839	9.879	-	26.300	18.089
Caleb Ferguson	TB	rp	5	26	1.019	6.517	13.539	12.082	10.713
Joey Lucchesi	TEX	sp	5	30	0.523	3.034	4.467	8.849	5.450
Jon Gray	TEX	sp	6	31	0.678	12.295	-	14.125	13.210
Miguel Andujar	TEX	if	5	28	0.437	3.456	4.889	6.225	4.857
Shane Bieber	TEX	sp	5	28	1.137	5.594	12.616	38.850	19.020
Frankie Montas	TOR	sp	5	30	0.701	3.579	5.810	17.330	8.906
Rhys Hoskins	TOR	if	6	30	0.836	13.318	-	24.960	19.139
Walker Buehler	TOR	sp	5	28	0.908	7.338	12.763	29.767	16.623
Adam Frazier	WAS	if	6	31	0.608	5.523	-	13.211	9.367
Andrew Beninte.	WAS	of	6	28	0.697	11.844	-	15.898	13.871

Last Edit: Apr 1, 2023 9:45:30 GMT -5 by BrewCrewGuru

Career (15 yrs): 1365-1065 (+1511 RD|5x WC|3x Div|3x AL|0x WS)
Playoffs: 34-28 (+45)

87-75 (2nd|+117|WC2|Lost DS)
88-74 (3rd|+66)
102-60 (1st|+227|Lost DS)
99-63 (2nd|+194|WC1|Lost WC)
90-72 (2nd|+151|WC1|Lost WS)
107-55 (1st|+268|Lost WS)
115-47 (1st|+366|Lost WS)
86-76 (2nd|+70)
101-61 (2nd|+199|WC1|Lost WC)
89-73 (3rd|+102)
97-65 (2nd|+162|WC1|Lost WC)
86-76 (3rd|+51)
71-91 (5th|-134)
72-90 (5th|-69)
75-87 (4th|-65)

Texas GM Pro Posts: 1,255	2023 CE Numbers Mar 1, 2023 14:51:53 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Texas GM on Mar 1, 2023 14:51:53 GMT -5 TEXAS accepts the CE's of only Shane Bieber and Jon Gray.
	OVERALL - 13 Seasons - 1174 - 933 - .557 WP (10 time playoffs) (1 losing season, 6 Div Titles, 4 WC birth, 1 League Pennant, 1 WS appearance - loss)

bluejaysgm Pro Posts: 1,427	2023 CE Numbers Mar 1, 2023 15:08:02 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by bluejaysgm on Mar 1, 2023 15:08:02 GMT -5 Toronto accepts the CE on Walker Buehler
	tkienast@yahoo.com Record (1508-1246, .548),WS Titles (06,07,15), AL Titles (06,07,10,12,15), AL E Titles (04,06,07,10,12,15), WC (05,11,14) 16-20 82-80, 83-79, 59-103, 71-91 11-15 92-70,103-59,79-83,93-69,106-56 06-10 92-70,98-64,87-75,80-82,95-67 03-05 88-74,103-59,97-65

Nationals AAA Posts: 508	2023 CE Numbers Mar 1, 2023 15:20:43 GMT -5 via mobile BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Nationals on Mar 1, 2023 15:20:43 GMT -5 Nationals aceept the CE on OF Andrew Benintendi, and decline the CE on UT Adam Frazier.
	Washington Nationals GM: Dave Taylor Email: dtaylorfd@gmail.com 2017: 92-70 - World Series Champions, NL East Champions 2018: 71-91 - 4th Place NL East 2019: 72-90 - 4th Place NL East 2020: 52-110 - 5th Place NL East 2021: 69-93 - 5th Place NL East 2022: 62-100 - 5th Place NL East 2023: 85-77 - 2nd Place NL East, Lost NLDS All-Time: 503-631 (.444)

BrewCrewGuru Pro THE RUINER Winning at life, not at baseball. Posts: 1,679	2023 CE Numbers Mar 1, 2023 20:15:16 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 1, 2023 20:15:16 GMT -5 I accept the CE on Cool Dick Lovelady.
	Sean THE RUINER (1382-1372) NSBL Founding Member You can reach me at quixquazquan@gmail.com "If you can not answer a man's arguement, all is not lost. You can still call him vile names" - Elbert Hubbard

raysgm
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DJ Kitty - The Face of the Rays

Posts: 1,865

2023 CE Numbers Mar 1, 2023 21:04:59 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this

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Post by raysgm on Mar 1, 2023 21:04:59 GMT -5

Tampa will not be accepting the CE on Caleb Ferguson (shocking!)

Career (15 yrs): 1365-1065 (+1511 RD|5x WC|3x Div|3x AL|0x WS)
Playoffs: 34-28 (+45)

87-75 (2nd|+117|WC2|Lost DS)
88-74 (3rd|+66)
102-60 (1st|+227|Lost DS)
99-63 (2nd|+194|WC1|Lost WC)
90-72 (2nd|+151|WC1|Lost WS)
107-55 (1st|+268|Lost WS)
115-47 (1st|+366|Lost WS)
86-76 (2nd|+70)
101-61 (2nd|+199|WC1|Lost WC)
89-73 (3rd|+102)
97-65 (2nd|+162|WC1|Lost WC)
86-76 (3rd|+51)
71-91 (5th|-134)
72-90 (5th|-69)
75-87 (4th|-65)

marlinsgmed AA Posts: 259	2023 CE Numbers Mar 1, 2023 21:15:41 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by marlinsgmed on Mar 1, 2023 21:15:41 GMT -5 Miami accepts the CE on Miles Straw only. 6.305
	Ed Schwabeland 2018: 77-85 (3rd place NL East) 2019: 96-66 (2nd place NL East- lost WC Game to Colorado) 2020: 92-70 (2nd place NL East- lost WC Game to Atlanta) 2021: 92-70 (Won NL East- lost NLCS to Pittsburgh) 2022: 66-96 (the year of shit- 4th place NL East) 2023: 62-100 (the year of shit 2- last in NL East) Total 485-487

Pirates GM All Star LAME! Posts: 2,580	2023 CE Numbers Mar 1, 2023 21:26:52 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Pirates GM on Mar 1, 2023 21:26:52 GMT -5 Dumb question: What does "Final season" denote? The average of that position's 6th year salary season? JIm
	2019 was a broth to remember...

raysgm
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DJ Kitty - The Face of the Rays

Posts: 1,865

2023 CE Numbers Mar 1, 2023 21:42:24 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru and Pirates GM like this

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Post by raysgm on Mar 1, 2023 21:42:24 GMT -5

"FA Szn" was poorly named. That's "Free Agent Season". It's the estimated cost of one year of free agency.

For 6th year players the CE# is the average of their current contract and this number.

For 5th year players their CE# is the average of their current contract, the "Prj 6th" (projected 6th year salary) and the free agent season

Career (15 yrs): 1365-1065 (+1511 RD|5x WC|3x Div|3x AL|0x WS)
Playoffs: 34-28 (+45)

87-75 (2nd|+117|WC2|Lost DS)
88-74 (3rd|+66)
102-60 (1st|+227|Lost DS)
99-63 (2nd|+194|WC1|Lost WC)
90-72 (2nd|+151|WC1|Lost WS)
107-55 (1st|+268|Lost WS)
115-47 (1st|+366|Lost WS)
86-76 (2nd|+70)
101-61 (2nd|+199|WC1|Lost WC)
89-73 (3rd|+102)
97-65 (2nd|+162|WC1|Lost WC)
86-76 (3rd|+51)
71-91 (5th|-134)
72-90 (5th|-69)
75-87 (4th|-65)

Pirates GM All Star LAME! Posts: 2,580	2023 CE Numbers Mar 2, 2023 22:32:54 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Pirates GM on Mar 2, 2023 22:32:54 GMT -5 Pittsburgh accepts CE+1 on Lucas Giolito, decides to keep our resident Dominican Ramon Laureano as 5th for the current season. JIm
	2019 was a broth to remember...

Whitesox AAA I'm just here for the free kool-aid Posts: 773	2023 CE Numbers Mar 6, 2023 12:52:43 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Whitesox on Mar 6, 2023 12:52:43 GMT -5 White Socks accept Brandon Nimmo CE, decline all other CE
	your mom.

seattlegm AA Posts: 254	2023 CE Numbers Mar 6, 2023 15:34:35 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by seattlegm on Mar 6, 2023 15:34:35 GMT -5 Seattle rejects both Peralta and T. Hernandez

LA Angels GM Pro Rally Monkey Time! Posts: 1,868	2023 CE Numbers Mar 7, 2023 7:57:07 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by LA Angels GM on Mar 7, 2023 7:57:07 GMT -5 Angels accept Kyle Tucker.
	jm3714@gmail.com Last 4 Seasons 2020: 93-69 (2nd) 2021: 86-76 (2nd) 2022: 60-102 (5th) 2023: 84-78 (4th) Overall record: 1,135-1,295 (1 Al West title)

yankees AA Posts: 415	2023 CE Numbers Mar 7, 2023 8:35:00 GMT -5 via mobile BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by yankees on Mar 7, 2023 8:35:00 GMT -5 No on minter Yes on Chapman

nestorm15 High A Posts: 145	2023 CE Numbers Mar 7, 2023 19:17:27 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nestorm15 on Mar 7, 2023 19:17:27 GMT -5 I will except all my CE

KC Royals Nate AA Posts: 432	2023 CE Numbers Mar 22, 2023 22:17:12 GMT -5 BrewCrewGuru likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by KC Royals Nate on Mar 22, 2023 22:17:12 GMT -5 KC will accept the CEs on Vlad Guerrero, Jordan Montgomery, and Jose Alvarado
	2023 - 89-73 - AL Central tie, loss WC Round 2022 - 89-73 - AL Central Title, loss WC round 2021 - 86-76 2020: 101-61, AL Central Title, AL Champion 2019: 81-81 2018: 72-90 2017: 62-100 2016: 58-104

bluejaysgm Pro Posts: 1,427	2023 CE Numbers Mar 24, 2023 7:42:19 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by bluejaysgm on Mar 24, 2023 7:42:19 GMT -5 Mar 1, 2023 15:08:02 GMT -5 bluejaysgm said: Toronto accepts the CE on Walker Buehler TOR refuses the CE on Rhys Hoskins
	tkienast@yahoo.com Record (1508-1246, .548),WS Titles (06,07,15), AL Titles (06,07,10,12,15), AL E Titles (04,06,07,10,12,15), WC (05,11,14) 16-20 82-80, 83-79, 59-103, 71-91 11-15 92-70,103-59,79-83,93-69,106-56 06-10 92-70,98-64,87-75,80-82,95-67 03-05 88-74,103-59,97-65

raysgm
Pro

DJ Kitty - The Face of the Rays

Posts: 1,865

2023 CE Numbers Mar 24, 2023 11:57:30 GMT -5

Quote

Post by raysgm on Mar 24, 2023 11:57:30 GMT -5

AZBot accepts the CE on Alex Bregman

Career (15 yrs): 1365-1065 (+1511 RD|5x WC|3x Div|3x AL|0x WS)
Playoffs: 34-28 (+45)

87-75 (2nd|+117|WC2|Lost DS)
88-74 (3rd|+66)
102-60 (1st|+227|Lost DS)
99-63 (2nd|+194|WC1|Lost WC)
90-72 (2nd|+151|WC1|Lost WS)
107-55 (1st|+268|Lost WS)
115-47 (1st|+366|Lost WS)
86-76 (2nd|+70)
101-61 (2nd|+199|WC1|Lost WC)
89-73 (3rd|+102)
97-65 (2nd|+162|WC1|Lost WC)
86-76 (3rd|+51)
71-91 (5th|-134)
72-90 (5th|-69)
75-87 (4th|-65)

Nationals AAA Posts: 508	2023 CE Numbers Mar 28, 2023 6:39:07 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Nationals on Mar 28, 2023 6:39:07 GMT -5 Nationals accept the CE offer on Yandy Diaz
	Washington Nationals GM: Dave Taylor Email: dtaylorfd@gmail.com 2017: 92-70 - World Series Champions, NL East Champions 2018: 71-91 - 4th Place NL East 2019: 72-90 - 4th Place NL East 2020: 52-110 - 5th Place NL East 2021: 69-93 - 5th Place NL East 2022: 62-100 - 5th Place NL East 2023: 85-77 - 2nd Place NL East, Lost NLDS All-Time: 503-631 (.444)

rockiesgm AAA Posts: 579	2023 CE Numbers Apr 1, 2023 9:19:23 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by rockiesgm on Apr 1, 2023 9:19:23 GMT -5 Colorado accepts the CE offers for Luis Castillo and Jesus Luzardo.
	Let's Go Bucs!

Elephanti!
AAA

Posts: 626

2023 CE Numbers Apr 2, 2023 22:18:04 GMT -5

Quote

Post by Elephanti! on Apr 2, 2023 22:18:04 GMT -5

OAK accepts CE offer for Tyler Glasnow

2009 - 74-88
2010 - 68-94
2011 - 77-85
2012 - 79-83
2013 - 88-75 (Defeated by BAL in ALDS)
2014 - 96-66 (World Series Champions)
2015 - 83-79
2016 - 88-74 (Defeated by SEA in ALDS)
2017 - 107-55 (Defeated by DET in ALDS)
2018 - 91-71 (Defeated by CHW in ALDS)
2019 - 87-75 (Defeated by TBR in ALWC)
2020 - 93-69 (Missed Playoffs)
2021 - 66-96
2022 - 92-70 (Defeated by SEA in ALDS)
2023 - 87-75 (Defeated by TEX in ALWC)

2023 CE Numbers

Post by raysgm on Mar 1, 2023 13:45:06 GMT -5

Post by Texas GM on Mar 1, 2023 14:51:53 GMT -5

Post by bluejaysgm on Mar 1, 2023 15:08:02 GMT -5

Post by Nationals on Mar 1, 2023 15:20:43 GMT -5

Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 1, 2023 20:15:16 GMT -5

Post by raysgm on Mar 1, 2023 21:04:59 GMT -5

Post by marlinsgmed on Mar 1, 2023 21:15:41 GMT -5

Post by Pirates GM on Mar 1, 2023 21:26:52 GMT -5

Post by raysgm on Mar 1, 2023 21:42:24 GMT -5

Post by Pirates GM on Mar 2, 2023 22:32:54 GMT -5

Post by Whitesox on Mar 6, 2023 12:52:43 GMT -5

Post by seattlegm on Mar 6, 2023 15:34:35 GMT -5

Post by LA Angels GM on Mar 7, 2023 7:57:07 GMT -5

Post by yankees on Mar 7, 2023 8:35:00 GMT -5

Post by nestorm15 on Mar 7, 2023 19:17:27 GMT -5

Post by KC Royals Nate on Mar 22, 2023 22:17:12 GMT -5

Post by bluejaysgm on Mar 24, 2023 7:42:19 GMT -5

Post by raysgm on Mar 24, 2023 11:57:30 GMT -5

Post by Nationals on Mar 28, 2023 6:39:07 GMT -5

Post by rockiesgm on Apr 1, 2023 9:19:23 GMT -5

Post by Elephanti! on Apr 2, 2023 22:18:04 GMT -5

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