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Post by Cubbies on Dec 17, 2021 15:05:40 GMT -5
Let's get this bitch started! I got my top target picked out. If he goes in the top two though, I'm going to need some time.
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Post by Cubbies on Dec 30, 2021 8:18:55 GMT -5
Hernandez is a solid pick there. Maybe doesn't have the upside some of the IFA kids do, but he's more likely to stay at SS than most. I don't know where BA had him ranked, but I know FG and Pipeline both had him 6th. But with no clear cut #1 like the Moncada or Wander Franco years, it's just a matter of preference.
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Post by Cubbies on Dec 30, 2021 18:28:48 GMT -5
Cespedes is a good pick I think. Pipeline had him as the #1 in this signing period, but Fangraphs had him 27th and doubted his ability to hit velocity. Seems like he did okay last season. Be curious to see how he looks in 2022 after he's had a year to knock all the rust off. I think I'd rank him closer to the #1 than the 27.
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Post by Cubbies on Dec 30, 2021 22:41:51 GMT -5
I had another player, a hitter, high on my board, but it's hard to pass on a guaranteed rotation arm with above average projections right here. He reminds me of my ace, Woodruff, who also blossomed under pro coaching. Kilian dominated last year, and then late in the season after being traded to Chicago in the Kris Bryant deal, learned a Spike Curve that he used in the AFL that helped him go 6 perfect innings in the championship game. His durability will probably limit him to my #4 spot in '22, but I think a top three of Woodruff, Houck, and Kilian will be the tits in 2023.
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Post by nestorm15 on Dec 31, 2021 6:31:37 GMT -5
He was the highest pitcher on my list. I like him a lot. I was down to him, Hernandez, and one other for my first pick. I hated passing on a pitcher.
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Post by Cubbies on Dec 31, 2021 7:16:00 GMT -5
He was the highest pitcher on my list. I like him a lot. I was down to him, Hernandez, and one other for my first pick. I hated passing on a pitcher. Yeah, I made sure not to mention him when we exchanged emails last week. Didn't know know many radars he was on, but luckily I only needed him to slip by two people this round.
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Post by bluejaysgm on Jan 1, 2022 16:25:18 GMT -5
I guess I need to start researching. I haven't even looked at a list since the draft ended last year.
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Post by Cubbies on Jan 3, 2022 9:11:51 GMT -5
Red Sox will select SP Brayan Bello, Red Sox Org. Excellent pick! He was the highest pitcher on my board. I was hoping he might find a way to drop to 2.03 but I didn't expect him to.
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Post by Cubbies on Jan 5, 2022 8:42:50 GMT -5
I had planned to take Kilian since the Cubs ZiPS came out. But when I actually opened up my Prospect targets list a few days before my turn, I saw Weimer's name still sitting at the top. I almost changed my mind. I really, really considered it. It was TINSTAAPP v. the idea that this 22 year old hasn't even reached AA yet and is known to be a free swinger.
Hope I chose right, the committee chose the right guy for the Twins. IMO, he was easily BPA.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Jan 6, 2022 11:58:06 GMT -5
I just want to say for the record that Colby is such a f'n Colby. That is all.
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Post by bigredmachine on Jan 6, 2022 21:18:01 GMT -5
I just want to say for the record that Colby is such a f'n Colby. That is all. Thanks! My great great relative appreciates the use of their quote too.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Jan 6, 2022 23:46:00 GMT -5
I just want to say for the record that Colby is such a f'n Colby. That is all. Thanks! My great great relative appreciates the use of their quote too. Still my favorite way to end an argument; win. lose, or draw!
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Post by yankees on Jan 7, 2022 10:37:35 GMT -5
I have three picks ready. Let’s go.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Jan 7, 2022 16:36:31 GMT -5
Pedro Leon was on the list as a high ceiling utility piece... maybe a little reach, but should be a contributor and soon.
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Post by Cubbies on Jan 8, 2022 13:50:30 GMT -5
I dig Leon. Probably one of my Top 3 IFA guys. Good pick at #8 in the round, imo. I could see him becoming an Arozarena or Laureano type OF.
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Post by Cubbies on Jan 8, 2022 22:05:03 GMT -5
If I could've put money on Hayes taking Diaz in Vegas, I'd be a very rich man right now. Nice pick, I liked Diaz a lot. More than I liked Leon or Céspedes.
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Post by nestorm15 on Jan 8, 2022 22:25:19 GMT -5
So do most people take the best available player or what they need? I struggle with this. Like all of us I need pitching(can't have to much pitching), but I keep taking the best available player. I think I have 4 or 5 short stops in my reserves right now. I know they can general play SS, 2b, or 3b. That's what I keep telling myself as I take the best available player.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Jan 8, 2022 22:46:14 GMT -5
As a non-conventional drafter, I'll just say that I think it's more difficult to have flexibility with your pick options the higher up the draft you pick. Being the 1st pick overall, you obviously need to pick the BPA according your standards. Have a blast with your next pick! They're all lottery tickets!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 8, 2022 23:52:46 GMT -5
A lot of it depends on where your team is as well. If I’m building I’m taking BPA every pick regardless of position. If I’m competing I might take a relief pitcher with surprising ZiPS, or something else that rounds out my team.
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Post by Pirates GM on Jan 9, 2022 8:03:19 GMT -5
To build on what Hayes said, I also take different strategies due to the timing of the drafts.
With the benefit of many ZiPS already out and FA looming, I’m more likely to draft a closer-to-polished prospect that has fallen through the cracks here in winter, because I know he’s going to sim well right out of the gate. Unlike summer, we also have the befit of a complete minor league season at this point.
But, I’m usually sacrificing ceiling to do that, so I take those guys in the summer.
I do think Hayes is blowing a little smoke though: If you examine his draft history, 90% of his picks are young, tall Latino boys with slender but powerful builds. He actually got flagged by Dateline a few years ago due to his prospect internet searches alone.
JIm
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Post by Cubbies on Jan 9, 2022 9:20:55 GMT -5
An examination of my history of winter picks shows that I apparently like to take guys who I have to cut by their 2nd year. I almost always go ceiling, but I feel it rarely works out for me in January.
The one year I recall zigging when I usually zag was the year I took an SP with a 97 ERA+ projection already so I could fill my rotation. It was Brandon Woodruff and he's now the ace of my staff. I'm hoping Kilian follows in those footsteps.
But if you're drafting first and rebuilding you likely need a lot of pieces, so taking an MLB ready reliever is not going to help you one bit if you're passing over the next Vlad Jr or Juan Soto to take him.
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Post by Cubbies on Jan 9, 2022 9:31:33 GMT -5
Nice pick of Colmenarez, Shawn. He was originally one of my Top targets when I was preparing for this draft. I had him just slightly ahead of Diaz because of the more easily projectable power to his game, and I overdraft LH hitters. Nice to be able to grab him 10th overall.
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Post by yankees on Jan 9, 2022 10:59:55 GMT -5
Wasn’t sure he would get to me but sure glad he did there was a few others I thought about picking.
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Post by nestorm15 on Jan 9, 2022 12:06:49 GMT -5
Good advice. I was hoping I am going the the overall right direction. I am pretty excited about my team this year. My lowest starting era + is a 101 and the oldest one is 28. Still need impact bat
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Post by Cubbies on Jan 9, 2022 12:38:30 GMT -5
Good advice. I was hoping I am going the the overall right direction. I am pretty excited about my team this year. My lowest starting era + is a 101 and the oldest one is 28. Still need impact bat I don't know if the numbers are still exactly the same, but about 8 years or so ago I saw Dan write that the average SP's ERA+ is 96 and the average RP's is 108. So I go by those numbers. If an RP has a projected ERA+ of, for example, 105, he is technically below average. And if a starter is sitting at 98, he is technically above average. So if you have five SPs who are all 101 or better, they are all pretty solidly above average.
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Whitesox
AAA
I'm just here for the free kool-aid
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Post by Whitesox on Jan 9, 2022 13:07:45 GMT -5
Great pick with Colmanerez. I may have taken him 1.1, but I have done very little research with the top IFA guys since no chance any will fall to me.
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Post by bigredmachine on Jan 9, 2022 13:16:18 GMT -5
Diaz and Colmanerez we’re the others I was considering with Leon. They look like they should be solid contributors but maybe a little light on power.
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Post by Cubbies on Jan 9, 2022 14:25:35 GMT -5
I always appreciate never having to update my draft boards after Sean picks. Thanks bro.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Jan 9, 2022 14:37:53 GMT -5
I always appreciate never having to update my draft boards after Sean picks. Thanks bro. Drafting chalk is boring.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2022 15:54:59 GMT -5
Diaz and Colmanerez we’re the others I was considering with Leon. They look like they should be solid contributors but maybe a little light on power. I will invariably give up power projection for a better hit tool, probably much to the detriment of my teams over the years.
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