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Post by Pirates GM on Jan 7, 2018 14:14:04 GMT -5
It seems like with trade protests, they hardly ever go through, because everyone's definition of "value" is different. I got a simple trade rejected last year, and I'm pretty sure that was one of the only actual trade rejections in recent years. However, I believe the following is clear-cut, objective, and can help address the imbalance we always discuss in NSBL.
If a team wins less than 70 games in a season, they are not permitted to trade away draft picks until their team surpasses the 70-win mark in a future season.
Every year we talk about the "talent discrepancy" in NSBL. And the common theme we return to is that teams buried in the standings continue to stay there by trading away picks for short-term fixes. I mean, we kicked Philly John out of the league for that exact thing, even though he was a good guy and an involved GM, so it seems silly to me to look the other way when other GMs here continue to do the same thing.
This wouldn't prevent a basement team from drafting guys and then trading them away a year later, but it at least would be a simple, clean-cut rule that would force teams to properly rebuild through the draft after having poor seasons. I know my rule suggestions here are usually not well-received, but I think this one would be simple, and help out a lot.
JIm
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2018 14:42:43 GMT -5
I understand what is trying to be achieved here, but don't think its the solution. Its far too complex a problem... The idea that I wouldn't be able to trade a pick for something else, like additional picks doesn't work for me. Granted, I've not seen that sort of offer and with so few picks, its probably not going to happen. I think leagues, as in real life, you need all sorts of team philosophies, including failed building philosophies. If winning the league is not a goal of everyone in the league then that I think its a biggest problem. And its a problem for more than this league. Our collective access to prospect information has made having the best farm system far more exciting and valuable than winning a league.
I don't have a solution for this except a GM review process, but its not like there is a long list of people getting into Sim baseball that you can hire and fire GMs at will.
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Post by Pirates GM on Jan 7, 2018 14:50:53 GMT -5
The GM review process simply does not work. It doesn't. Too many people have too many different perspectives of "value", and therefore will look for ways to uphold trades, even ones that seem quite obvious to not be in a team's best interests.
There are 2 different ways to go about addressing the issue:
1. Limit GMs that continue to make these predatory trades 2. Limit GMs that continue to be taken advantage of in these trades
Past practice has shown NSBL much more in favor of the latter than the former. But if so, then you have to do something to limit teams at the bottom from continuing to place themselves into this Groundhog Day scenario. Eliminating the possibility of trading away picks for the poorest teams is a simple solution that at least gets us going in the right direction.
JIm
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2018 15:07:07 GMT -5
oh, thats not what I mean for GM review. not Trade Review, but GM review. A process where by the Executive Board / Commissioners of the league discuss whether or not a GM is participating in the Spirit of the League, aka to win the league. If a GM consistently does the things above that you find offensive, then they should be put before this board, and in the off season a full review of the persons contribution to the League and the League community are weighed and evaluated. I've been in leagues where this was done with a point system... One such league had article writing / forums participation as a means to evaluate GMs. maybe they weren't very good at drafting or building a team, but they brought other things to the league. In this league it was suggested that every month we write at least 2 articles, if we didn't write them, we lost the ability to participate in what was essentially "waivers" for the league. Prolific writers were rewarded with cap space, or waiver priority increases or other. Each month is reset, if you missed a month of activity, the next month you were out for participating until you made up the quota. These things are hard to mandate because real life and such... I've been trying to find a baseball league that had the same sort of commitments as this league I was in (it was hockey) and I've not really found it. I do respect what you are looking to achieve here, in your rule change. what I was getting at is that its the same thing so many other leagues across fantasy sports are trying to achieve and no one has the solution. My offer of a suggestion would be as I explained a GM review panel, where as seasons end, each GM was reviewed. Do you send in line up changes? Do you participate in online discussions? If your team isn't winning, does it look like you have a plan... what is that plan? (maybe you are asked to submit a formal document with an outline.) taking a look at my own situation. I'm what 6 months in, when I started, some encouraged me to push all in for 2017. I didn't;t see a rotation that was going to do anything in 2017, even if I got to the WC game. $1.5mil in additional cap space??? not worth trading away future assets for that... so I started trying to move pieces, conscious told me I wouldn't have someone who assaulted a woman on my team. I started losing a lot when he was removed. Find a bright spot on the Twins, that doesn't have a shit ton of risk... ok, so my team sucks, I didn't send in a bunch of line up changes, because I didn't think there was a way to fix a broken roster for 2017. So I try to participate as much as I can in the league forums. You can't kick the guy who brings donuts out of the league.. who will bring the donuts. you get what im saying, I'm sure... So... Establish a League Code of Ethics... and a review process for GMs... but, I dare say build up a wait list first. else you'll have vacant teams when no one can live up to the expectations.
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Post by Pirates GM on Jan 7, 2018 15:21:50 GMT -5
Again, they’ve actually tried that in the past with GMs who were struggling. But every one of them justified the moves they made as part of their “plan”, and nothing ended up changing. Even Philly John had justifications for his moves before eventually being removed anyway.
The league here has tried subjective analysis of a GM’s team in multiple formats over the past 10-12 years, and none of them work long-term.
That’s why I would like to go in this direction instead. It takes the subjective evaluation out of the equation. It’s not punishing GMs with poor or rebuilding teams, but would force them into keeping their picks until they can rise above a set wins threshold.
JIm
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2018 16:11:30 GMT -5
hmmm.... I'd like more draft myself... and actually, I prefer an amateur draft that has a pool of only signed amateurs out of the summer MLB draft. (have it take place starting the weekend after the signing deadline, or better still in the off season too add activity and fun in the cold winter months... yeah its freaking cold up here..!!) more rounds, maybe teams under that win threshold can't trade more than a certain number of picks from the draft or pick quality. well, if you want to remove the possibility of trading draft picks if a team hasn't won more than 70 games. It fits my plan, so go for it. ; ) I would just like to find a way to devalue the pick, so that its closer to the value of the player drafted. it appears as soon as you select a player with a pick, the value of that player drops like a rock!
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Post by Pirates GM on Jan 7, 2018 16:32:28 GMT -5
I wouldn't mind more draft rounds, but that's a separate barrel o' monkies. I personally like how the NSBL drafts are set up a LOT. In leagues like MLBSA which have a craaaaaazy amount of rounds, you find yourself digging soooooooo deep into 17- and 18-year old rookie league guys that it becomes quite a chore.
Personally, if the draft were expanded, I would love to see the Winter draft expanded from 1 round into 2. Then, it becomes an actual big offseason event.
JIm
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2018 16:42:49 GMT -5
how about expand draft, but keep rosters somewhat tight. MLBSA keeps adding on and adding on, again so that no one has to lose a player ever. then... you can draft... or you can keep a player you already have. ; )
now, I love deep systems, I was in league where after the 10 round amateur draft, teams got ownership of everyone in the corresponding MLB team system that had played in the US minor leagues, no DSL type stuff. thats how international guys where split up. I was the Royals in that league, I got really familiar with that system, watching out for A guys in GCL to make sur they were property of my Royals and not someone else. OotP allows for complete farm systems, so tracking was fairly easy. I had sheet after sheet in a worksheet following my system players as they went up the system. players couldn't be used unless they were place on the MLB team 40 man, and had a projection.
you know I like that system idea too. once a MLB team places a guy on the 40 man, he should have to be placed on any fantasy league 40 man. forced activation. how the heck was Altherr sitting in the minors for 2 years... shit, now no one wants him, HAHAH
oh oh right, sorry sidetracked (im bored, and its so cold outside) more draft rounds, but same roster sizes. teams that keep shitting away picks can't trade the draft picks from the first half of the draft. 6rounds, can't trade 1-3.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2018 19:44:49 GMT -5
I'm not a fan of this rule because of 1 reason: for some reason draft picks have more value than players. The 3rd pick in the draft I can get a better return on than trading morejon (who I just selected 3rd in the winter draft). I'm more of a draft pick hoarder myself but I can see a legit reason for trading a high pick as a rebuilding team.
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Post by phillies17 on Jan 7, 2018 21:24:38 GMT -5
This new rule sounds about as logical as the logic exhibited by other GM's that you are complaining about. If every year there is a discussion about the have's and have-not's in this league and things continue to stay the same then it sounds like they may not be very productive discussions. I've only been here a year, thanks in large part to the death penalty issued to a previous have-not that was otherwise a good guy and possibly original owner who I believe recruited at least a couple current GM's? Overall he sounds like someone you'd want in your league. He may have been the least successful, but based on the team histories he was far from the only one. I think the framework of the league creates a have/ have-not system and it is further magnified by the cost of talent. The other thing I have noticed that plays a role in all this is there are more than a couple GM's that would rather have the best prospects instead of the best team.
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Post by Pirates GM on Jan 7, 2018 22:25:14 GMT -5
This new rule sounds about as logical as the logic exhibited by other GM's that you are complaining about. You've only been here for a couple of months. I've been here since the league was founded in 2003. I'm going to go out on a limb and wager that I've seen a little bit more of the strengths and weaknesses of the league than you have. JIm
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Post by Deleted on Jan 8, 2018 7:01:54 GMT -5
I'm not a fan of this rule because of 1 reason: for some reason draft picks have more value than players. The 3rd pick in the draft I can get a better return on than trading morejon (who I just selected 3rd in the winter draft). I'm more of a draft pick hoarder myself but I can see a legit reason for trading a high pick as a rebuilding team. This is exactly what I've experienced. ie the 8th pick in the first round has a certain value, but as soon as you take the consensus 8th best player available, that player's value drops precipitously. Even if 30 guys agree that's who they'd take at #8. (its a vague example, I get it no 30 people are going to agree, but the point remains.) I really think more rounds of the draft, and keeping tighter roster restrictions would force decision making, and players on the fringe would trickle down. I can't believe I typed that...
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Post by phillies17 on Jan 8, 2018 8:40:17 GMT -5
This new rule sounds about as logical as the logic exhibited by other GM's that you are complaining about. You've only been here for a couple of months. I've been here since the league was founded in 2003. I'm going to go out on a limb and wager that I've seen a little bit more of the strengths and weaknesses of the league than you have. JIm Gee that is not too condescending, elitist and close minded. I'll be honest, I threw that in there just to see if that would be your response. Stop crying for change if you do not really want to be open to hearing alternative points of view to"your way or the highway". All you have done is bitch and whine all offseason about GM's gaming the system to their advantage or making moves that you don't like. Please let me know when I'm grown up enough to be at your level for an intelligent discussion.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 8, 2018 9:08:14 GMT -5
Id like to say here that I'm not sure if this would work, but I appreciate and respect someone throwing it out there... I learn more about people from interactions / discussions on league message boards and talking about league rules theory is interesting to me.
keeping things the same because its easiest has never been the way I like to go about things... and I do think leagues such as this need to find 30 guys rowing in the same direction. I wish there were more leagues, or at least the number of sim leagues increasing but thats not really the case... so its difficult for all of us to find a perfect marriage. I've been in a bunch of leagues and always found the ones with dead message boards, where ideas aren't thrown out, and discussed are boring as shit.
I really think some of y'all need to use the "block" feature if its a part of this message board system.
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Post by phillies17 on Jan 8, 2018 9:43:52 GMT -5
I do agree with Jim that the draft is a clear path to success and dumping picks does not work all that well. I may not have experienced it first hand, but the data is there to know certain plans just do not work for this league. I'm not sure that locking picks based on success is the way to go. There is still the trap where most prospects fail so if 5 teams build exclusively through the draft, at least 2 would still probably fail. I think there a a couple ways to minimize tanking and stashing, but I'll leave that to a different discussion.
I have a similar opinion to Jason with the possible expansion of the draft by a couple of rounds. With the limited number of picks, they become far more valuable than the player taken. Right now its more like the NBA than MLB with the pick value far exceeding the ROI after the draft. I think increasing the draft a couple rounds not only allows for rebuilding teams to get more potential hits, but more importantly frees up some trade value for 2nd to 3rd tier talent movement among teams wanting to make a push or in need of that last piece. If the roster limits stay the same then stacked reserve teams might be more willing to move a guy to improve their active roster. Lets face it, not all 30 GM's are great at both active and reserve roster management and I would imagine watching prospects develop is too difficult while trading and trying is more fun. Providing a little more freedom of movement may open up team building without needing to be a prospect genius.
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Post by phillies17 on Jan 8, 2018 11:04:51 GMT -5
Just to further my thoughts on using an expanded draft to free up value a little more I looked at success of all 30 franchises. I chose to focus on playoff success going back to 2003 (15 seasons) to show just how difficult this league is to win.
3 teams have never made the playoffs 3 teams have never won a Division Series (all 3 have multiple WC appearances though) 11 teams have what I would call only 1 successful playoff year (past WC round) 4 teams had only 2 successful playoff runs Of the remaining 9 teams, 4 of them have seen "limited" success this decade, 1 owns the most championships, 2 have never won the WS and the remaining 2 have, but not in the past 5 years. Translating overall regular season wins to WS: The top 8 teams in wins since 2003 have 6 WS titles (3 owned by one team). The bottom 6 have been to the playoffs a collective 5 times. Overall it would appear that being bad just breeds staying bad and being good usually does not last long.
After all this I'm sure you are wondering what is the point? Well my thoughts are playoff success is limited. There should be an ability to "go all in" which does not cripple you, good teams should be a little more successful (I know playoffs are a crapshoot) and most importantly re-builds should be a little quicker. I am seeing a pattern of 3-4 bad years produce 2 good years if it worked. The cost of talent and winning is prohibitive for many teams. We should look at doing something to reduce the cost of winning, promote player movement and reduce draft-pick ROI.
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Post by Pirates GM on Jan 8, 2018 11:05:18 GMT -5
Gee that is not too condescending, elitist and close minded. I'll be honest, I threw that in there just to see if that would be your response. Stop crying for change if you do not really want to be open to hearing alternative points of view to"your way or the highway". All you have done is bitch and whine all offseason about GM's gaming the system to their advantage or making moves that you don't like. Please let me know when I'm grown up enough to be at your level for an intelligent discussion. Wow. I miss John. JIm
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Post by LA Angels GM on Jan 8, 2018 11:10:05 GMT -5
I hate it when you talk to me like I'm not even here.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 8, 2018 11:56:52 GMT -5
There should be an ability to "go all in" which does not cripple you, good teams should be a little more successful (I know playoffs are a crapshoot) and most importantly re-builds should be a little quicker. I am seeing a pattern of 3-4 bad years produce 2 good years if it worked. The cost of talent and winning is prohibitive for many teams. We should look at doing something to reduce the cost of winning, promote player movement and reduce draft-pick ROI. I think this is a valuable opinion, and I share it as a general feeling on all Fantasy Leagues. How to achieve it on the other hand... is a unicorn.
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Post by Cubbies on Jan 8, 2018 13:16:59 GMT -5
I have thoughts on some of the ideas brought up here, but I am way behind at work right now (New Year. No Motivation!) and need to get caught up so I can't take an hour to write out a long reply just now. I can tell you that the committee does veto more trades than Jim is aware of. Lately the really lopsided ones don't even get posted to the board. Hayes will forward them to the committee to vote on and typically when that happens they get vetoed and reworked before anyone even sees them. This happens multiple times a year.
As for the "been here since the league's inception v. been here a year" argument. It's irrelevant. Everyone has the right to an opinion and to voice it. We don't play the Nativism game here. I've said over and over I treasure the opinions of the newer owners because they bring fresh ideas. If we keep doing what we've always done, we'll end up where we've always been. Nothing would change.
I don't think I like the idea of locking draft picks. As some have pointed out, picks have more value than actual players if you trade them at the right time. During the offseason, picks hold their least value, but during and right as the draft starts, they are overvalued. They are like stocks, you have to know when to trade/sell them to get the best ROI on them.
John was actually voted out a year before he was removed. I just didn't have the heart to do it. I didn't want to do it. I never want to remove an owner from this league. But it really did get to the point where his actions were creating competitive advantages and disadvantages in the league by his trades. He was constantly the short end of the stick on nearly every trade he made. I assume most of you here have seen the movie Little Big League where the kid manages the Twins. Remember the scene where his favorite player, who is past his prime, gets a single and Billy gets all excited until (I think...) the hitting coach, says something like "how bad has he gotten for you to get excited over just a single". It got that way with John's trades. Anytime he made one that was actually fair, I'd get excited. But usually, he would just trade anything of value he had the first chance he got for instant, short term, gratification. I tried to talk to him more than a handful of times about this. I tried to tell him to just suck for awhile. Accept that. His team was going to suck anyways, steer into the slide. Draft players and hold onto them. Keep them and create a supply of prospects instead of drafting a guy, then first time the NTC is removed, trading him for two replacement level veterans just to fill your 25. Then those contracts would be over at the end of the year and he'd have to do the same thing again to replace those guys. I know Sean spoke to him probably as much as I did to try to help him out, but he refused to take our advice. Instead the team just got further and further into the black hole that Mike inherited.
We've discussed adding more rounds and expanding rosters and such before. The league was pretty split on it so we made the rule we did. We went from 50 total to 55, with the provision that we would add an extra roster spot every offseason until we hit 60 total roster spots (25 active, 35 reserve). We also decided to table any discussion of further roster expansion until we reached that point. I think we're at 57 this offseason. Having tighter roster limits helps eliminate our need to have a 40-man roster and is less work for all owners and the committee. We have a lot of casual owners here. And some I would call less than casual. We don't expect a high level of activity, but it would be nice if some of the sub-casual owners were a little more active.
At the end of the day, any prospective rule change has to be looked at from the perspective of "how much work is it going to cause the committee to monitor" and how are we going to monitor it? As Jason said, we don't exactly have new owners breaking down our doors to get in, so instituting new rules that would eventually get rid of the more casual owners might not be in the best interest of the league.
Shit... I spent more time writing that I wanted. No motivation to do my job I tell ya...
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Post by Deleted on Jan 8, 2018 14:15:55 GMT -5
Thanks for jumping in Joe and adding some additional administrative history. I think keeping the rosters tighter than that other league does is fine and as you said it eliminates the concept of 40 man vs 25 man, vs minors. Im good with that. That said, I think there is merit to opening up the draft a bit more. Maybe in the first year or so it doesn't cause much movement but relatively soon teams would have to consider dropping players so that they had room to participate in the draft. yes many of the players will be either too far away or fringe guys they were hanging onto, but those guys could then be picked up by other rebuilding teams sort of like an informal Rule V.
Im ok with your concept of getting the most out of the value of draft picks, but I don't think it appropriately explains the crazy inflation, even in the offseason of next summers draft picks, and the deflation of this past summers consensus top 200 draftees.
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