2022 Week 11

Cubbies
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Posts: 4,357

2022 Week 11 Jul 31, 2022 21:03:23 GMT -5 Pirates GM likes this

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Post by Cubbies on Jul 31, 2022 21:03:23 GMT -5

Sorry it's up late. Several assholes sent in like 10 moves each. They know who they are.

I didn't do all the waiver moves on the spreadsheet yet because I was hurrying to get the sim done. I'll try to get them done for the Wednesday sim. Only a few more 2x a week ones. Sim will be up in a minute.

www.TheNSBL.com/NSBL.zip

raysgm
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DJ Kitty - The Face of the Rays

Posts: 1,865

2022 Week 11 Aug 1, 2022 1:03:40 GMT -5

Quote

Post by raysgm on Aug 1, 2022 1:03:40 GMT -5

Took 2 of 3 from the Yankees and then swept the Orioles for a 5-1 week, including a chaotic 15 inning affair in Baltimore.

The good: After putting together a couple good weeks I'm tied with Toronto for the division lead, sitting at 37-29.

The bad: Toronto just traded for Marcus Semien and Frankie Montas, giving them a huge boost in divisional odds.

Coming up: 13-game homestand kicks off with 3 against the Yanks and 3 against the Pirates

AWARD LADDERS
AL MVP:
1. Matt Chapman (3B) - New York Yankees
2. Nolan Arenado (3B) - Toronto Blue Jays
3. Christian Yelich (LF) - Cleveland Guardians
4. Yasmani Grandal (C) - Toronto Blue Jays
5. Aaron Judge (RF) - Baltimore Orioles
6. George Springer (CF) - Seattle Mariners
7. Julio Urias (SP) - Los Angeles Angels
8. Carlos Correa (SS) - Oakland Athletics
9. Rhys Hoskins (1B) - Toronto Blue Jays
10. Mark Canha (RF) - Cleveland Guardians

NL MVP:
1. Freddie Freeman (1B) - Atlanta Braves
2. Tyler O'Neill (LF) - St. Louis Cardinals
3. Luis Robert (CF) - Colorado Rockies
4. Juan Soto (DH) - Atlanta Braves
5. Francisco Lindor (SS) - Atlanta Braves
6. Jose Altuve (2B) - Arizona Diamondbacks
7. Mike Trout (CF) - San Diego Padres
8. Josh Donaldson (3B) - Colorado Rockies
9. Randy Arozarena (CF) - Cincinnati Reds
10. Ty France (1B) - Cincinnati Reds

AL Cy Young:
1. Julio Urias (SP) - Los Angeles Angels
2. Robbie Ray (SP) - Texas Rangers
3. Jake Odorizzi (SP) - Detroit Tigers
4. Logan Webb (SP) - Chicago White Sox
5. Alex Wood (SP) - Tampa Bay Rays

NL Cy Young:
1. Gerrit Cole (SP) - Washington Nationals
2. Chris Sale (SP) - Miami Marlins
3. Corbin Burnes (SP) - Cincinnati Reds
4. Zack Wheeler (SP) - St. Louis Cardinals
5. Jacob deGrom (SP) - Pittsburgh Pirates

AL Rookie of the Year:
1. Adley Rutschman (C) - Minnesota Twins
2. Wander Franco (SS) - Minnesota Twins
3. Seth Brown (RF) - Detroit Tigers
4. Steven Kwan (CF) - Kansas City Royals
5. Alek Thomas (CF) - Toronto Blue Jays

NL Rookie of the Year:
1. Riley Greene (RF) - Cincinnati Reds
2. Shea Langeliers (C) - St. Louis Cardinals
3. Julio Rodriguez (RF) - New York Mets
4. Aaron Ashby (SP) - Milwaukee Brewers
5. Seiya Suzuki (LF) - San Francisco Giants

AL Hank Aaron Award:
1. Christian Yelich (LF) - Cleveland Guardians
2. Rhys Hoskins (1B) - Toronto Blue Jays
3. Mark Canha (RF) - Cleveland Guardians

NL Hank Aaron Award:
1. Freddie Freeman (1B) - Atlanta Braves
2. Juan Soto (DH) - Atlanta Braves
3. Tyler O'Neill (LF) - St. Louis Cardinals

AL Reliever of the Year:
1. Edwin Diaz (RP) - Oakland Athletics
2. Jake Cousins (RP) - Kansas City Royals
3. Ken Giles (RP) - Seattle Mariners

NL Reliever of the Year:
1. Kirby Snead (RP) - Atlanta Braves
2. Mark Melancon (RP) - Colorado Rockies
3. David Robertson (RP) - San Diego Padres

MILESTONE WATCH
Milestone Watch

Weekly Leaderboards are updated:
REMEMBER THAT UNTIL I GET AROUND TO CHANGING THE PLAYOFF LOGIC ALL PLAYOFF ODDS ARE STILL BASED ON A TWO WILD CARD SYSTEM

Week-By-Week Charts

Best week: Toronto Blue Jays, 5-2, +3.1% World Series Odds (+3.2 wins added to mean win projection). Also Considered: LAD

Worst week: Baltimore Orioles, 1-6, -1.8% World Series Odds (-3.1 wins subtracted from mean win projection). Also Considered: STL

Career (15 yrs): 1365-1065 (+1511 RD|5x WC|3x Div|3x AL|0x WS)
Playoffs: 34-28 (+45)

87-75 (2nd|+117|WC2|Lost DS)
88-74 (3rd|+66)
102-60 (1st|+227|Lost DS)
99-63 (2nd|+194|WC1|Lost WC)
90-72 (2nd|+151|WC1|Lost WS)
107-55 (1st|+268|Lost WS)
115-47 (1st|+366|Lost WS)
86-76 (2nd|+70)
101-61 (2nd|+199|WC1|Lost WC)
89-73 (3rd|+102)
97-65 (2nd|+162|WC1|Lost WC)
86-76 (3rd|+51)
71-91 (5th|-134)
72-90 (5th|-69)
75-87 (4th|-65)

Pirates GM All Star LAME! Posts: 2,580	2022 Week 11 Aug 1, 2022 15:25:12 GMT -5 raysgm likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Pirates GM on Aug 1, 2022 15:25:12 GMT -5 Ooh. The Pirates' 5-1 week doesn't even merit consideration for best week? Okay Connordog. Okay. Sounds like someone is still a lil' salty over 2019. JIm
	2019 was a broth to remember...

raysgm
Pro

DJ Kitty - The Face of the Rays

Posts: 1,865

2022 Week 11 Aug 1, 2022 15:48:41 GMT -5

Quote

Post by raysgm on Aug 1, 2022 15:48:41 GMT -5

Aug 1, 2022 15:25:12 GMT -5 Pirates GM said:

Ooh. The Pirates' 5-1 week doesn't even merit consideration for best week?

Okay Connordog. Okay. Sounds like someone is still a lil' salty over 2019.

JIm

The way the "best" and "worst" week are determined is a pretty silly formula. It's two times the games won change plus the world series probability change. So for Toronto their win total improved by 3.2 and world series odds improved by 3.1%, both heavily based on the Semien/Montas acquisitions. The formula has them as 2*3.2+3.1 = 9.5. Any team that is within 75% of that number gets an "also considered". You're win total improved by 2.1 and world series odds improved by 1%, so the formula has you down for a score of 5.2.

It's stupid, and it's not even correct right now since the world series odds aren't correct since I don't have the new playoff system coded in and frankly am not sure when I will. I would probably have to re-write the whole playoff odds calculator because it's built on a rickety house of cards right now. That said, I like the best/worst weeks and think the formula is still at least alright so I'm leaving it in.

Career (15 yrs): 1365-1065 (+1511 RD|5x WC|3x Div|3x AL|0x WS)
Playoffs: 34-28 (+45)

87-75 (2nd|+117|WC2|Lost DS)
88-74 (3rd|+66)
102-60 (1st|+227|Lost DS)
99-63 (2nd|+194|WC1|Lost WC)
90-72 (2nd|+151|WC1|Lost WS)
107-55 (1st|+268|Lost WS)
115-47 (1st|+366|Lost WS)
86-76 (2nd|+70)
101-61 (2nd|+199|WC1|Lost WC)
89-73 (3rd|+102)
97-65 (2nd|+162|WC1|Lost WC)
86-76 (3rd|+51)
71-91 (5th|-134)
72-90 (5th|-69)
75-87 (4th|-65)

redsoxtim
AA

Posts: 356

2022 Week 11 Aug 3, 2022 1:36:26 GMT -5

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Post by redsoxtim on Aug 3, 2022 1:36:26 GMT -5

Good: 5-1 week with a 1.98 ERA (something our pitching staff has no business ever being able to do)
Bad: We only scored 18 runs ourselves in those 6 games. Other than his first career HR, Vargas' first look has been brutal (and he's been sent back down to the minors with Beer healthy).
Ugly: Darwinzon Hernandez blows two saves but vultures two wins. He has pitched lights out as the lefty closer, so he'll get the benefit of the doubt. For now.

2022 Week 11

Post by Cubbies on Jul 31, 2022 21:03:23 GMT -5

Post by raysgm on Aug 1, 2022 1:03:40 GMT -5

Post by Pirates GM on Aug 1, 2022 15:25:12 GMT -5

Post by raysgm on Aug 1, 2022 15:48:41 GMT -5

Post by redsoxtim on Aug 3, 2022 1:36:26 GMT -5

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