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Post by Nationals on Mar 1, 2023 10:22:36 GMT -5
Jim sucks.
Let's get it going.
Senga with a not so bad contract.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 1, 2023 10:25:50 GMT -5
I think Mark overpaid for Senga, but I made sure of that. LOL
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Post by Texas GM on Mar 1, 2023 10:37:56 GMT -5
FYI, that was going to be my last bid, but I don't see it as an overpay either. His zips were based on 22 starts and a 2.3 WAR. Projected out to 34 starts that's a 3.8 - 4.0 WAR SP. That's 6.25M / WAR on the conservative side. Now, if he doesn't live up to his 3 year zips projections, he'll be the most expensive RP in history.
After making the WS last year though, and losing Robbie Ray, I wanted to slot a similar value SP in there and give it another title run. FUN FACT: This is the first contract in my 12 year Texas Ranger history that ANY player got more than a 20 M contract. I never thought it would go to the likes of Kodai Senga, but that's where we're at now.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 1, 2023 11:04:02 GMT -5
FYI, that was going to be my last bid, but I don't see it as an overpay either. His zips were based on 22 starts and a 2.3 WAR. Projected out to 34 starts that's a 3.8 - 4.0 WAR SP. That's 6.25M / WAR on the conservative side. Now, if he doesn't live up to his 3 year zips projections, he'll be the most expensive RP in history. After making the WS last year though, and losing Robbie Ray, I wanted to slot a similar value SP in there and give it another title run. FUN FACT: This is the first contract in my 12 year Texas Ranger history that ANY player got more than a 20 M contract. I never thought it would go to the likes of Kodai Senga, but that's where we're at now. Though I am intrigued by Senga (and wish him the best), the negatives about his stuff concerned me a lot. It feels like a good gamble, but one with some extreme outcomes. A hittable fastball at the MLB level means redesigning how he attacks and potentially moving to the bullpen where his velocity plays up. I think losing out on Senga is going to define my Free Agency. Plan A was like "sign Senga and plug holes." I think Plan B is "Do almost nothing, buyout Bauer and Profar."
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Post by Texas GM on Mar 2, 2023 8:41:42 GMT -5
I just can't be unsportsmanlike and deal with any bad karma that comes with it, but this bid is not a valid winning bid and I assume the clock is still running.
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Post by Texas GM on Mar 2, 2023 8:58:39 GMT -5
I just can't be unsportsmanlike and deal with any bad karma that comes with it, but this bid is not a valid winning bid and I assume the clock is still running. Somebody didn't get enough sleep (that person is me; for some reason in the calculator I had the winning big at 12.50, not 15.25, thanks Mark). 3 / $17.5 / y No problem. Just remember to vote for me for the GM SPORTSMANSHIP AND INTEGRITY AWARD.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 2, 2023 9:16:36 GMT -5
Somebody didn't get enough sleep (that person is me; for some reason in the calculator I had the winning big at 12.50, not 15.25, thanks Mark). 3 / $17.5 / y No problem. Just remember to vote for me for the GM SPORTSMANSHIP AND INTEGRITY AWARD. WTF is integrity? (moved these posts to the banter thread so that the message board clock is the accurate timer)
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Post by Texas GM on Mar 2, 2023 9:35:09 GMT -5
No problem. Just remember to vote for me for the GM SPORTSMANSHIP AND INTEGRITY AWARD. WTF is integrity? Just for you Sean, it's acting like you've been there before.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 2, 2023 9:38:31 GMT -5
WTF is integrity? Just for you Sean, it's acting like you've been there before. Literally, I have no clue what you are talking about.
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Post by raysgm on Mar 3, 2023 13:00:40 GMT -5
Though I don't think ZiPS is aware of Correa's medical issues (whatever they may be), the Correa contract is really great according to my simple contract value talks, +$119 MM of surplus value (that does take into account the 10% discount rights Jeff has on him).
It sees Diaz and Senga as basically neutral contracts (-$3 MM and -$1.5 MM respectively, which given the length and price of the contract is basically a rounding error).
Realmuto comes in at +$28 MM, which I'll take, especially since I wasn't planning on signing him
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Post by Elephanti! on Mar 3, 2023 22:04:27 GMT -5
Pretty happy to be bringing Correa back.
I like the Realmuto signing.
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Post by yankees on Mar 4, 2023 15:00:37 GMT -5
So I got my SS. Now the SP and RP
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Post by phillies17 on Mar 6, 2023 9:23:59 GMT -5
I think Kershaw will be a great test case on the difference between DMB and OOTP. If we stayed DMB then you should expect 35 starts out of him and you could ride him through the year. He is projected for anywhere between 22 and 29 starts. I would probably bet the under this year unless we do something in the settings to reduce fatigue and injuries.
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Post by Pirates GM on Mar 6, 2023 16:12:04 GMT -5
That Realmuto contract is looking better and better by the bid. And of course it’s the nefarious Connordog that reaps the benefits!
JIm
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Post by bluejaysgm on Mar 6, 2023 19:47:25 GMT -5
I think Kershaw will be a great test case on the difference between DMB and OOTP. If we stayed DMB then you should expect 35 starts out of him and you could ride him through the year. He is projected for anywhere between 22 and 29 starts. I would probably bet the under this year unless we do something in the settings to reduce fatigue and injuries. This is something we have to deal with? Uggh
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Post by Cubbies on Mar 6, 2023 21:39:14 GMT -5
I think Kershaw will be a great test case on the difference between DMB and OOTP. If we stayed DMB then you should expect 35 starts out of him and you could ride him through the year. He is projected for anywhere between 22 and 29 starts. I would probably bet the under this year unless we do something in the settings to reduce fatigue and injuries. This is something we have to deal with? Uggh We've never played with any sort of playing limits, so I don't expect us to start now. We do plan to turn the "long term" injuries down to probably None. I don't think any of us want to be on the receiving end of a Torn ACL or TJS to a player than knocks them out the whole season. Is it realistic? Obviously. But we are in this league to have fun, and it's not fun. I also plan to turn suspensions off maybe? I don't know, we haven't discussed it. I don't know what kind of suspensions they have. 1 to 7 days might be interesting. But I don't want Corbin Carroll getting hit with a PED and losing 81 games. He's not Tatis Jr FFS.
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Post by LA Angels GM on Mar 7, 2023 8:07:21 GMT -5
This is something we have to deal with? Uggh We've never played with any sort of playing limits, so I don't expect us to start now. We do plan to turn the "long term" injuries down to probably None. I don't think any of us want to be on the receiving end of a Torn ACL or TJS to a player than knocks them out the whole season. Is it realistic? Obviously. But we are in this league to have fun, and it's not fun. I also plan to turn suspensions off maybe? I don't know, we haven't discussed it. I don't know what kind of suspensions they have. 1 to 7 days might be interesting. But I don't want Corbin Carroll getting hit with a PED and losing 81 games. He's not Tatis Jr FFS. I'm currently in year 4 of a save I'm playing, and the longest suspension I've had on my team is Austin Meadows getting a 5 game one for a bench clearing brawl. The only other one I've had is a 1 game suspension for arguing calls and strikes. Haven't paid attention to any other suspensions around the league, but I'd be surprised if they go bigger than that. That said, I'm all for turning suspensions off. I do get a couple season ending injuries per year. I traded for Forrest Whitley, and right when I get him developed into a useful mid-rotation starter, he gets injured for 18 months. Playing with a full minor league system makes it kind of a fun challenge. Playing in our league, where our reserve rosters aren't as deep... that would be zero fun.
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Post by LA Angels GM on Mar 7, 2023 8:30:54 GMT -5
Looks like for injuries, we can completely turn off long term injuries, then set short term injuries to None, very low, low, normals, high, or very high.
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Post by Bal-Ty-more on Mar 9, 2023 12:19:45 GMT -5
Came into tier 1 hoping to get 2 of the 3 top starting pitchers, and not leaving without at least 1. I talked to Sean last week and asked if he thought I could get 2 of them for $80 million cause I wasn't sure. Ended up getting the best 2 for 70 million and didn't have to get into a bidding war with 11th Hour Jim. Win win.
That gives me a rotation of Carlos Rodon 136 ERA+ Max Scherzer 127 Brandon Pfaadt 113 Joe Ryan 104 Eric Lauer 102
All the guys are projected for 139 or more innings and 24 or more starts. And I have Keegan Thompson or Mac Gore to fill in spots when needed.
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Post by raysgm on Mar 9, 2023 12:32:07 GMT -5
Came into tier 1 hoping to get 2 of the 3 top starting pitchers, and not leaving without at least 1. I talked to Sean last week and asked if he thought I could get 2 of them for $80 million cause I wasn't sure. Ended up getting the best 2 for 70 million and didn't have to get into a bidding war with 11th Hour Jim. Win win. That gives me a rotation of Carlos Rodon 136 ERA+ Max Scherzer 127 Brandon Pfaadt 113 Joe Ryan 104 Eric Lauer 102 All the guys are projected for 139 or more innings and 24 or more starts. And I have Keegan Thompson or Mac Gore to fill in spots when needed. I really do not like this! At least your lineup is weak....right? (checks roster....sees Tatis Jr., Judge, Reynolds) I mean, you don't have any prospects though (ugh James Wood, Spencer Jones, Dylan Crews, Nick Yorke, Tyler Soderstrom, Mick Abel). At least you don't have a lot of money left!!!!!!! HELL YEAH, ONLY $12 MIL LEFT!!! RAYS 2023 BABY!!!
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 10, 2023 9:40:02 GMT -5
Came into tier 1 hoping to get 2 of the 3 top starting pitchers, and not leaving without at least 1. I talked to Sean last week and asked if he thought I could get 2 of them for $80 million cause I wasn't sure. Ended up getting the best 2 for 70 million and didn't have to get into a bidding war with 11th Hour Jim. Win win. That gives me a rotation of Carlos Rodon 136 ERA+ Max Scherzer 127 Brandon Pfaadt 113 Joe Ryan 104 Eric Lauer 102 All the guys are projected for 139 or more innings and 24 or more starts. And I have Keegan Thompson or Mac Gore to fill in spots when needed. I really do not like this! At least your lineup is weak....right? (checks roster....sees Tatis Jr., Judge, Reynolds) I mean, you don't have any prospects though (ugh James Wood, Spencer Jones, Dylan Crews, Nick Yorke, Tyler Soderstrom, Mick Abel). At least you don't have a lot of money left!!!!!!! HELL YEAH, ONLY $12 MIL LEFT!!! RAYS 2023 BABY!!! This is what happens when you're a hater like Connor. You get pegged to death by Ty "Monopoly Money" Duncan.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 10, 2023 12:24:17 GMT -5
T1 is complete and all players added to rosters. I even remembered NTCs. Boom!
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Post by Pirates GM on Mar 10, 2023 13:10:36 GMT -5
Clayton, I’m sorry what these men did to you on the open market. They are savages, and insist on building their teams solely through free agency.
You are back home now. You’re in a safe space.
JIm
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 11, 2023 12:53:34 GMT -5
Clayton, I’m sorry what these men did to you on the open market. They are savages, and insist on building their teams solely through free agency. You are back home now. You’re in a safe space. JIm Though I appreciate this comment, I think you'll see that Rich almost exclusively builds thru the draft because he doesn't trust anyone in this league. Few trades and mostly bids on players to fuck with people. It's actually shocking he's ever won anything.
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Post by Pirates GM on Mar 12, 2023 5:17:40 GMT -5
I could be wrong, but it feels like our league is set up to reward guys building more through FA than the draft:
1. Guy sings a bunch of FA 2. FA give him more WAR than internal xxx players 3. Team wins more games 4. Salary cap increases 5. V contracts expire, giving him larger swings in free cash, allowing him to bid on more FA 6. Cycle repeats
I don’t know what you actually do about it, but I feel like this has been happening for some time.
JIm
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 12, 2023 7:19:23 GMT -5
I could be wrong, but it feels like our league is set up to reward guys building more through FA than the draft: 1. Guy sings a bunch of FA 2. FA give him more WAR than internal xxx players 3. Team wins more games 4. Salary cap increases 5. V contracts expire, giving him larger swings in free cash, allowing him to bid on more FA 6. Cycle repeats I don’t know what you actually do about it, but I feel like this has been happening for some time. JIm Well, I also think it feels this way. The way you handle it is with a flat cap where everyone has the same resources. There have been some egregious loopholes in the past that aided in the "buy wins, buy cap" cycle, but they have been closed for the most part now. I feel like we have a fairly reasonable respresentation of how winning impacts a team's revenue without trying to account for market size and TV money. The other way to break the cycle is to build a core thru the draft. An example of a team starting their cycle this way is Baltimore. Ty drafted Strasburg, Moncada, Judge and many others. That was the rise of Baltimore. Yes, there have been tanking shenanigans followed up by retooling using rollover money and generating huge FA signings.. BUT.. they never get there if they hadn't drafted that core first. It is more difficult to get started now than it used to be. Part of the reason being is that only idiots like me trade high draft picks. The perceived value of NSBL picks has been thru the roof and is staying high even as we have added more picks to our drafts. This places added advantage on people with "extra money" available because they can purchase picks from cash-strapped organizations. Yes, this is all free market stuff. It's actually highly regulated in our league, but we can't do anything about that except have even more rules and regulations. If I though we could move to a flat cap without obliterating a couple of teams, I would have pushed for it more. More importantly, I wish I would have been more interested in the challenge of team building under the same financials 20 years ago when we had a chance to set the rules in the first place. Back then though, you, I, Joe, Tracy, and Rich, we were more concerned about "reasonable realism" and doing things more like MLB with less effort. Those are my thoughts. I agree with you for the msot part. I also don't have a good solution.
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Post by bluejaysgm on Mar 13, 2023 18:54:15 GMT -5
Just turned bids in, almost forgot.
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Post by LA Angels GM on Mar 15, 2023 12:29:16 GMT -5
Not sure how I feel about free agency so far.
With no one upbidding me on my Day 1 bids, I worry that I bid too high on all of them. Then I lost out on my two bidding wars today, but at least I have the consolation of knowing that I drove the price of Outman and Gallo up to higher than they probably should be.
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Post by BrewCrewGuru on Mar 15, 2023 13:13:40 GMT -5
Not sure how I feel about free agency so far. With no one upbidding me on my Day 1 bids, I worry that I bid too high on all of them. Then I lost out on my two bidding wars today, but at least I have the consolation of knowing that I drove the price of Outman and Gallo up to higher than they probably should be. Free Agency be whack this year. It will definitely make you question your decision making. LOL
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Post by Nationals on Mar 15, 2023 14:52:23 GMT -5
Not sure how I feel about free agency so far. With no one upbidding me on my Day 1 bids, I worry that I bid too high on all of them. Then I lost out on my two bidding wars today, but at least I have the consolation of knowing that I drove the price of Outman and Gallo up to higher than they probably should be. Im really hoping Outman is a late bloomer. The defense alone can rotate him in 3 spots long term, but the bat has to be there too for this to work. Seems like he's doing that so far, but the Dodgers just need to give him some play. Or i'm going to regret it all.
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